Election Day. Polls close at 10 pm Israel time
Saved campaign forecast · Estimate · Current
Published: Oct 27, 04:00 · Checked: Not provided
One coherent 120-seat allocation; uncertainty ranges are separate.
A short path through the election, one figure at a time.
Loading the routes…
Step 1 of 4. 1 minutes
Saved campaign forecast · Estimate · Current
Published: Oct 27, 04:00 · Checked: Not provided
One coherent 120-seat allocation; uncertainty ranges are separate.
Hypothetical roles; other parties oppose. This is arithmetic, not a prediction of an agreement. An initial confidence vote needs more yes votes than no votes; abstentions can allow passage below 61.
58 Yes · 53 No · 9 Abstaining
Cabinet: 52 · Saved campaign forecast
Bennett's B'Yachad pledged to govern only with Zionist parties and to rely only on them: no Arab or Haredi parties, so their outside support counts too. This coalition includes Ra'am.
61 Yes · 59 No · 0 Abstaining
Cabinet: 61 · Saved campaign forecast
Bennett's B'Yachad pledged to govern only with Zionist parties and to rely only on them: no Arab or Haredi parties, so their outside support counts too. This coalition includes Shas.
Liberman: “not for the Arab parties and not for the haredi parties.” This coalition includes Shas.
Golan: “the Haredim will be outside [the government], that is a guarantee.” He said it after a leaked clip in which he would vote for a government that needed a Haredi party “provided that Likud, Smotrich, and Ben Gvir are not there.” This coalition includes Shas.
53 Yes · 67 No · 0 Abstaining
Cabinet: 53 · Saved campaign forecast
UTJ says it will not support or enter any government that does not first regulate the status of Torah learners (a yeshiva-status law), whoever leads it.
An electoral list can contain several parties. A bloc is a grouping used to describe possible alliances; it is not a single ballot choice. Read two profiles, then compare the same parties on one concrete question.
The essential distinctions, with one tool to try. Leave or skip a step whenever you like.
Route facts checked . The linked guides carry the original evidence and dates. Return to the homepage.