Saved campaign forecast · Estimate · Current
Published: Oct 27, 04:00 · Checked: Not provided
Source
One coherent 120-seat allocation; uncertainty ranges are separate.
The Party Map
Every profiled list, sized by its seats in the shared allocation. Open a list for its sourced profile.
About this map
| Netanyahu bloc | 53.0 |
|---|---|
| Anti-Netanyahu bloc (Zionist parties) | 52.0 |
| Between the blocs | 0.0 |
| Joint List and Ra'am | 15.0 |
Areas use the selected seat allocation, not voter numbers or current parliamentary membership. Unclassified lists stay neutral; no bloc is inferred for them.
Profiles cover recorded positions, candidates, pledges, sources and evidence dates. An election-seat allocation is separate from a government agreement.
Related political families share color families; each profiled party has its own shade. Color is not an official party symbol.
Party colors
- Netanyahu bloc — LikudLikud
- Netanyahu bloc — nationalist / religious rightOtzma YehuditReligious Zionism–ZehutNoam
- Netanyahu bloc — Haredi listsShasUTJ
- Netanyahu bloc — People of IsraelPeople of Israel
- Anti-Netanyahu bloc (Zionist parties)B'YachadYashar!The DemocratsYisrael BeiteinuBlue and White
- Unaligned listReservists–Economic
- Joint List and Ra'amJoint ListRa'am
Party family tree. The ballot directory: 2026.
Sources71ShowHide
- Maariv / Lazar poll, fieldwork Sep 30–Oct 1, 2026, published Oct 2, 2026, via Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-910396.
- Channel 13 poll, published Oct 1, 2026 (n=1,013), via Times of Israel liveblog. Reservists–Economic polled below the threshold.
- Zman Yisrael / Tatika poll, published Oct 1, 2026 (n=500, margin ±4.4).
- Kan 11 poll, published Sep 28, 2026, via Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-909918. Kan did not report Shas or UTJ separately. The listed parties add up to 106, so Shas and UTJ together hold 14 (our arithmetic: 120 − 106).
- Channel 14 / Next Data / Filber poll, published Oct 1, 2026, via skarim.org. Sep 23 and Sep 28 polls also cited; figures marked date-uncertain are the latest in our register without a date.
- Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 6, 2026, published Sep 6, 2026 (n=551), via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1096840/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 7, 2026, published Sep 7, 2026 (n=1,057), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1693697. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 7, 2026, published Sep 7, 2026 (n=503), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-067c7eb8e9c70a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 7–8, 2026, published Sep 8, 2026 (n=600), via The Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-907949. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=1,119), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/z10wm-905351997/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=1,054), via i24NEWS: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-a92f58d0. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=537), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1697000. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Walla / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=506). Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=554), via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1098105/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=504), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-c27dc00e8c680a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 9–10, 2026, published Sep 11, 2026 (n=601), via Maariv: maariv.co.il/news/politics/article-1365318. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Sep 9–10, 2026, published Sep 11, 2026 (n=500), via Zman Yisrael: zman.co.il/723041/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 14, 2026, published Sep 14, 2026, via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1099439/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 15, 2026, published Sep 15, 2026 (n=483), via Haredim 10: ch10.co.il/en/news/1101859/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 14, 2026, published Sep 15, 2026, via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-16f5b846bd3a0a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Sep 15, 2026, published Sep 16, 2026 (n=886), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/uo4p5-905360485/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=817), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1706627. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Sep 17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=519), via i24NEWS: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-5b0e5baa. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Israel Hayom / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 16–17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=551), via Israel Hayom: israelhayom.co.il/news/politics/article/21444759. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Sep 16–17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=500), via Zman Yisrael: zman.co.il/725468//. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 16–17, 2026, published Sep 18, 2026 (n=600), via Maariv: maariv.co.il/news/politics/article-1368599. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 22, 2026, published Sep 22, 2026 (n=501), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-fad59e819c9c0a1027.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 23, 2026, published Sep 23, 2026 (n=647), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1711606. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Sep 23, 2026, published Sep 23, 2026 (n=1,503), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/hcp4l-905367553/?pid=98577. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Sep 24, 2026, published Sep 24, 2026 (n=537), via i24NEWS: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-5d1d4577. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Sep 23–24, 2026, published Sep 25, 2026 (n=500), via The Times of Israel: timesofisrael.com/netanyahus-coalition-and-rival-change-bloc-draw-level-in-latest-toi-poll/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 23–24, 2026, published Sep 25, 2026 (n=610), via The Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-909659. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Oct 1, 2026, published Oct 2, 2026 (n=504), via Haredim 10: ch10.co.il/en/news/1105029/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
- Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Oct 4, 2026, published Oct 4, 2026 (n=553), via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1105927/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378604815).
- Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Oct 5, 2026, published Oct 5, 2026, via Arutz Sheva: israelnationalnews.com/news/434161. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378756845).
- Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Oct 7, 2026, published Oct 7, 2026 (n=2,175), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1728516. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1379241507).
- Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Oct 7, 2026, published Oct 7, 2026 (n=1,013), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/survey-905386103/?pid=985778. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1379241507).
- Israel Hayom / Kantar poll, fieldwork Oct 7–8, 2026, published Oct 8, 2026 (n=555), via Israel Hayom: israelhayom.co.il/news/politics/article/21444759. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1379241507).
- Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Oct 7–8, 2026, published Oct 8, 2026 (n=500), via Zman Yisrael: zman.co.il/731622/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1379386113).
- i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Oct 7, 2026, published Oct 8, 2026 (n=504), via i24 News: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-fa0f56f4. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1379386113).
- Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Oct 7–8, 2026, published Oct 9, 2026 (n=700), via Maariv: maariv.co.il/news/politics/article-1375198. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1379386113).
- Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Oct 12, 2026, published Oct 12, 2026 (n=538), via Haredim10: ch10.co.il/en/news/1107207/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1379952737).
- Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Oct 11, 2026, published Oct 11, 2026 (n=553), via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1108256/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1380109781).
- Walla / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Oct 12, 2026, published Oct 12, 2026 (n=601), via Walla: walla.co.il/news/politics/383957251. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
- Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Oct 12, 2026, published Oct 12, 2026 (n=509), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-cc91389788031a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
- Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Oct 14, 2026, published Oct 14, 2026 (n=1,018), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/survey-905396904/?pid=106628. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
- Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Oct 14–15, 2026, published Oct 15, 2026 (n=500), via The Times of Israel: timesofisrael.com/toi-poll-eisenkot-opens-up-big-lead-on-netanyahu-but-both-blocs-short-of-majority/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
- Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Oct 14–15, 2026, published Oct 16, 2026 (n=700), via The Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-911902. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
- Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Oct 18, 2026, published Oct 18, 2026 (n=554), via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1110393/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
- Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Oct 19, 2026, published Oct 19, 2026 (n=1,016), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/jw3wm-905406894/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
- Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Oct 19, 2026, published Oct 19, 2026 (n=507), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-a6eb664b9d451a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
- Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Oct 20, 2026, published Oct 20, 2026 (n=2,116), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1746819. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381389461).
- i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Oct 13, 2026, published Oct 13, 2026 (n=1,210), via i24 News: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-b9e16632. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
- i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Oct 18, 2026, published Oct 18, 2026 (n=525), via i24 News: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-81805. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
- i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Oct 20, 2026, published Oct 20, 2026 (n=521), via i24 News: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-91da6024. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
- Walla / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Oct 19, 2026, published Oct 20, 2026 (n=601), via Walla: walla.co.il/news/politics/383958175. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545). Amcha Yisrael 2.9% (below the threshold) added by hand from the Wikipedia row, 2026-10-23; the import had dropped it.
- Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Oct 21, 2026, published Oct 21, 2026 (n=1,084), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/ksgoq-905411865/?pid=106628/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
- Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Oct 21, 2026, published Oct 21, 2026 (n=505), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-bf175ad340f51a1027.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
- Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Oct 21, 2026, published Oct 21, 2026 (n=1,954), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1748686. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
- Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Oct 22, 2026, published Oct 22, 2026 (n=7,937), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1750553. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
- Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Oct 21–22, 2026, published Oct 22, 2026 (n=500), via Zman Yisrael: zman.co.il/735649/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381477545).
- Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Oct 19–22, 2026, published Oct 22, 2026 (n=1,048), via Maariv: maariv.co.il/news/elections-2026/article-1380289. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1381577859).
- Israel Hayom / Kantar poll, fieldwork Oct 22, 2026, published Oct 22, 2026, via Israel Hayom: israelhayom.co.il/news/politics/article/21694000. Entered by hand 2026-10-24 from Israel Hayom's publication of Oct 23 (fieldwork Oct 22) as listed on Wikipedia's polling page and in ice.co.il's report (https://www.ice.co.il/research/news/article/1134739); no sample size published. Amcha Yisrael not reported.
- Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Oct 23, 2026, published Oct 23, 2026 (n=1,006), via Kan 11: zman.co.il/live/735892/. The final Kan 11 poll (Kantar), published Friday Oct 23 before the blackout; entered by hand 2026-10-24 from Zman Yisrael's live report, ynet's roundup (https://www.ynet.co.il/news/elections2026/article/hy500sxt2mx; sample 1,006, margin 3%, Amcha Yisrael 2.9%) and Haaretz's live blog (sample given there as 1,106; its Democrats figure of 9 makes 121 seats and is a transcription error: Kan's table has 8, and the Eisenkot bloc total of 52 that every source reports requires it). Not yet on Wikipedia.
- Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Oct 22–23, 2026, published Oct 23, 2026 (n=1,018), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-8ea5e45ec2961a1027.htm. The final Channel 12 poll (Midgam with iPanel), published Friday Oct 23 before the blackout; entered by hand 2026-10-24 from Channel 12's own report (1,018 respondents, margin 4.4%; Haredi Public 0.5%, Noam 0.5%). Not yet on Wikipedia.
- Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Oct 23, 2026, published Oct 23, 2026 (n=1,875), via Channel 13: zman.co.il/live/735899/. The final Channel 13 poll (the HaMadad consortium), published Friday Oct 23 before the blackout; entered by hand 2026-10-24 from Zman Yisrael's live report and ynet's roundup (https://www.ynet.co.il/news/elections2026/article/hy500sxt2mx; 1,875 respondents, margin 2.3%; Haredi Public 1.3%). Haaretz's live blog gives the sample as 1,084. Not yet on Wikipedia.
- Campaign comparison: Polling averages are our arithmetic from each pollster’s latest current poll above, weighted by the square root of sample size, each party over the polls where it passed the threshold.
- Party profiles (history, voters, positions, list names, pledges, surplus partners, quotes): research registers compiled Oct 22, 2026, from the sources named next to each item (Israel Democracy Institute, Times of Israel, Jerusalem Post, Ynet, JTA, INN, Al Jazeera, Maariv and others). Quotes are translated from Hebrew where needed, and each names its source.
- Leader bios: Each bio names its sources in parentheses.
- List count:Historical reporting: Ynet, September 27, 2026. The saved CEC roster and its publication caveats are retained in the ballot directory.