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Israel Votes2026
Election Day Tuesday, Oct 27, 202622 days awayPolls last updated Oct 5, 2026
Zionist opposition

Yisrael Beiteinu

Leader
Avigdor Lieberman
Surplus-vote partner
B'Yachad (signed Sept 10). (Times of Israel, Sep 10, 2026)

Who they are

  • Founded 1999 by Avigdor Lieberman; first aimed at Soviet immigrants, later “right-wing secular voters.” Peak: 15 seats in 2009. (IDI party page)
  • His April 2019 refusal to join a government over the draft law set off five elections. (IDI; Wikipedia)

Who votes for them

  • 2022: 213,687 votes, 4.48%, 6 seats. (Wikipedia)
  • Russian speakers: Yisrael Beiteinu 23%; 94% of them back a universal draft. (Lazar via JPost, Dec 10, 2025)
  • First-time voters: 6%. (N12 via JPost, Sep 23, 2026)

Where they stand

Haredi draft
Everyone at 18: “Jews, Muslims, Christians, Druze and Circassians”; sanctions including travel bans. (Ynet, Sep 16, 2026)
Courts
A written constitution put to a national referendum; amendments would need 80 MKs. (Ynet, Sep 22, 2026)
War & Gaza
Board of Peace arrangements are “a capitulation to terror.” A state commission on Oct 7 is a condition. (JPost, Aug 12; Times of Israel, Aug 17, 2026)
West Bank
“The Palestinian Authority must be dismantled.” (JPost, Sep 28, 2026)
Religion & state
Civil marriage and divorce; a Western Wall compromise; local choice on Shabbat transit; a mandatory core curriculum. (Ynet, Dec 7, 2025)
Economy
“Right-wing fiscal positions.” (IDI)

Names on the list

  • No. 2Rafi Ben Shitrit, former Beit She'an mayor
  • No. 6Sharon Sharabi, brother of freed hostage Eli Sharabi
  • No. 10Dan Illouz, former Likud MK

JPost and Times of Israel, Sep 6, 2026

Coalition pledges

  • No Netanyahu, no Arab parties, no Haredi parties: “not for the Arab parties and not for the haredi parties.” (JPost, Sep 21, 2025; repeated Oct 3, 2026)
  • Conditions: Oct 7 inquiry, universal service, prime-minister term limits, core curriculum, constitution by referendum. (Times of Israel, Aug 17, 2026)

In their words

“We are the Likud of yesteryear.”
Yisrael Beiteinu slogan · Ynet, Sep 27, 2026

Seats in each poll

i24NEWS, Oct 27
Maariv, Oct 29
Channel 13, Oct 19
Zman Yisrael, Oct 110
Kan 11, Sep 289
Channel 12, Sep 229
Channel 14, Oct 16

Average 8.83 across 6 polls (Channel 14 not included).

Bios

Avigdor Lieberman. Born 1958 in Chișinău; immigrated in 1978 and lives in Nokdim. Founded Yisrael Beiteinu in 1999. His refusal to join a government in April 2019 started the cycle of five elections.

Bio source: Wikipedia, accessed Oct 2026, via the research memo and party registers.

Sources

  1. Maariv / Lazar poll, fieldwork Sep 30–Oct 1, 2026, published Oct 2, 2026, via Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-910396.
  2. Channel 13 poll, published Oct 1, 2026 (n=1,013), via Times of Israel liveblog. Reservists–Economic polled below the threshold.
  3. Zman Yisrael / Tatika poll, published Oct 1, 2026 (n=500, margin ±4.4).
  4. Kan 11 poll, published Sep 28, 2026, via Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-909918. Kan did not report Shas or UTJ separately. The listed parties add up to 106, so Shas and UTJ together hold 14 (our arithmetic: 120 − 106).
  5. Channel 14 / Next Data / Filber poll, published Oct 1, 2026, via skarim.org. Left out of averages and the coalition count: runs well above other polls for Likud (31–32 vs 19–21). Sep 23 and Sep 28 polls also cited; figures marked date-uncertain are the latest in our register without a date.
  6. Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 6, 2026, published Sep 6, 2026 (n=551), via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1096840/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  7. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 7, 2026, published Sep 7, 2026 (n=1,057), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1693697. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  8. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 7, 2026, published Sep 7, 2026 (n=503), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-067c7eb8e9c70a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  9. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 7–8, 2026, published Sep 8, 2026 (n=600), via The Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-907949. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  10. Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=1,119), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/z10wm-905351997/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  11. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=1,054), via i24NEWS: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-a92f58d0. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  12. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=537), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1697000. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  13. Walla / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=506). Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  14. Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=554), via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1098105/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  15. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=504), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-c27dc00e8c680a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  16. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 9–10, 2026, published Sep 11, 2026 (n=601), via Maariv: maariv.co.il/news/politics/article-1365318. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  17. Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Sep 9–10, 2026, published Sep 11, 2026 (n=500), via Zman Yisrael: zman.co.il/723041/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  18. Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 14, 2026, published Sep 14, 2026, via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1099439/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  19. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 15, 2026, published Sep 15, 2026 (n=483), via Haredim 10: ch10.co.il/en/news/1101859/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  20. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 14, 2026, published Sep 15, 2026, via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-16f5b846bd3a0a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  21. Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Sep 15, 2026, published Sep 16, 2026 (n=886), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/uo4p5-905360485/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  22. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=817), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1706627. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  23. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Sep 17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=519), via i24NEWS: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-5b0e5baa. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  24. Israel Hayom / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 16–17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=551), via Israel Hayom: israelhayom.co.il/news/politics/article/21444759. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  25. Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Sep 16–17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=500), via Zman Yisrael: zman.co.il/725468//. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  26. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 16–17, 2026, published Sep 18, 2026 (n=600), via Maariv: maariv.co.il/news/politics/article-1368599. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  27. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 22, 2026, published Sep 22, 2026 (n=501), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-fad59e819c9c0a1027.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  28. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 23, 2026, published Sep 23, 2026 (n=647), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1711606. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  29. Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Sep 23, 2026, published Sep 23, 2026 (n=1,503), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/hcp4l-905367553/?pid=98577. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  30. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Sep 24, 2026, published Sep 24, 2026 (n=537), via i24NEWS: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-5d1d4577. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  31. Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Sep 23–24, 2026, published Sep 25, 2026 (n=500), via The Times of Israel: timesofisrael.com/netanyahus-coalition-and-rival-change-bloc-draw-level-in-latest-toi-poll/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  32. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 23–24, 2026, published Sep 25, 2026 (n=610), via The Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-909659. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  33. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Oct 1, 2026, published Oct 2, 2026 (n=504), via Haredim 10: ch10.co.il/en/news/1105029/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  34. Party profiles (history, voters, positions, list names, pledges, surplus partners, quotes): research registers compiled Oct 4, 2026, from the sources named next to each item (Israel Democracy Institute, Times of Israel, Jerusalem Post, Ynet, JTA, INN, Al Jazeera, Maariv and others). Quotes are translated from Hebrew where needed and were seen through summaries; their wording has not yet been checked against the originals.
  35. Leader bios: Wikipedia, accessed Oct 2026, via the research memo and party registers.