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Israel Votes2026
Election Day Tuesday, Oct 27, 202622 days awayPolls last updated Oct 5, 2026
Arab-led lists

Ra'am

Leader
Mansour Abbas (Yoav Segalovitz no. 2)
Surplus-vote partner
Joint List (signed Sept 11). (Walla, Sep 12; Ynet, Sep 11, 2026)

Who they are

  • Founded 1996 as the political wing of the Islamic Movement's Southern Branch. In 2021 it became the first independent Arab party in an Israeli government. (Wikipedia)
  • Opened membership to all Israelis in Jan 2026 and declared its split from the Shura Council complete in July 2026. (Times of Israel; MEF)
  • Barred by the Elections Committee Sept 23; reinstated 9–0 by the Supreme Court Oct 2. (Times of Israel, Sep 23; JPost, Oct 2, 2026)

Who votes for them

  • 2022: 194,047 votes, 4.07%, 5 seats. (Wikipedia)
  • Took 35.2% of the Arab and Druze vote in 2022, and 73.9% in the Negev. (IDI, Dec 25, 2022)
  • Strongholds: the Negev and the Triangle; now seeking Christian and Druze voters, with a 7–8 seat target. (Ynet, 2026)

Where they stand

Haredi draft
No 2026 position found
Courts
No 2026 position found
War & Gaza
Asked whether Hamas is a terror group to be destroyed: “I have a straight answer; I just don't want to say it.” (INN, Jul 28, 2026)
West Bank
“The state of Palestine exists and stands… We want them to recognize it too.” (Aug 22, 2026, via MEF)
Religion & state
Earlier: “Israel was born as a Jewish state, and it will remain so.” The AG told the committee Abbas recognizes Israel's Jewish character. (Times of Israel, Sep 23, 2026)
Economy
Budgets, planning, housing and jobs for Arab towns; seeks the violence and crime portfolio. No full manifesto. (Aug 31, 2026)

Names on the list

  • No. 1Mansour Abbas
  • No. 2Yoav Segalovitz, Jewish former police commander; joined Aug 31
  • —Walid Taha, on the Aug 22 slate; final slot not confirmed

JPost; Times of Israel, Aug 31, 2026

Coalition pledges

  • Open to any coalition, including one led by Likud. (Times of Israel)
  • Eisenkot said Sept 26 that Abbas “won't be part of my next government.” Segalovitz: “Eisenkot won't have a government without Ra'am.” (Times of Israel, Sep 26, 2026)

In their words

“I am going to an Arab party. They are not coming to me.”
Yoav Segalovitz · as quoted in CRC party register, Oct 4, 2026

Seats in each poll

i24NEWS, Oct 25
Maariv, Oct 25
Channel 13, Oct 15
Zman Yisrael, Oct 15
Kan 11, Sep 285
Channel 12, Sep 225
Channel 14, Oct 15

Average 5 across 6 polls (Channel 14 not included).

Bios

Mansour Abbas. Born 1974 in Maghar; a dentist and imam. Describes himself as “an Arab, a Palestinian, a Muslim, and a citizen of the State of Israel.” Ra'am chair since 2018.

Yoav Segalovitz (no. 2). Jewish, 67. Former commander of Lahav 433 and head of the police Investigations Division; former deputy public security minister. Joins Ra'am's Knesset faction, not the party (JPost; Times of Israel, Aug 31, 2026).

Bio source: Wikipedia, accessed Oct 2026, via the research memo and party registers.

Sources

  1. Maariv / Lazar poll, fieldwork Sep 30–Oct 1, 2026, published Oct 2, 2026, via Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-910396.
  2. Channel 13 poll, published Oct 1, 2026 (n=1,013), via Times of Israel liveblog. Reservists–Economic polled below the threshold.
  3. Zman Yisrael / Tatika poll, published Oct 1, 2026 (n=500, margin ±4.4).
  4. Kan 11 poll, published Sep 28, 2026, via Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-909918. Kan did not report Shas or UTJ separately. The listed parties add up to 106, so Shas and UTJ together hold 14 (our arithmetic: 120 − 106).
  5. Channel 14 / Next Data / Filber poll, published Oct 1, 2026, via skarim.org. Left out of averages and the coalition count: runs well above other polls for Likud (31–32 vs 19–21). Sep 23 and Sep 28 polls also cited; figures marked date-uncertain are the latest in our register without a date.
  6. Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 6, 2026, published Sep 6, 2026 (n=551), via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1096840/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  7. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 7, 2026, published Sep 7, 2026 (n=1,057), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1693697. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  8. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 7, 2026, published Sep 7, 2026 (n=503), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-067c7eb8e9c70a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  9. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 7–8, 2026, published Sep 8, 2026 (n=600), via The Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-907949. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  10. Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=1,119), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/z10wm-905351997/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  11. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=1,054), via i24NEWS: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-a92f58d0. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  12. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=537), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1697000. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  13. Walla / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=506). Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  14. Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=554), via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1098105/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  15. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 9, 2026, published Sep 9, 2026 (n=504), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-c27dc00e8c680a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  16. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 9–10, 2026, published Sep 11, 2026 (n=601), via Maariv: maariv.co.il/news/politics/article-1365318. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  17. Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Sep 9–10, 2026, published Sep 11, 2026 (n=500), via Zman Yisrael: zman.co.il/723041/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  18. Kan 11 / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 14, 2026, published Sep 14, 2026, via Kan 11: kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1099439/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  19. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 15, 2026, published Sep 15, 2026 (n=483), via Haredim 10: ch10.co.il/en/news/1101859/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  20. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 14, 2026, published Sep 15, 2026, via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-16f5b846bd3a0a1026.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  21. Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Sep 15, 2026, published Sep 16, 2026 (n=886), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/uo4p5-905360485/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  22. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=817), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1706627. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  23. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Sep 17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=519), via i24NEWS: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-5b0e5baa. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  24. Israel Hayom / Kantar poll, fieldwork Sep 16–17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=551), via Israel Hayom: israelhayom.co.il/news/politics/article/21444759. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  25. Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Sep 16–17, 2026, published Sep 17, 2026 (n=500), via Zman Yisrael: zman.co.il/725468//. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  26. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 16–17, 2026, published Sep 18, 2026 (n=600), via Maariv: maariv.co.il/news/politics/article-1368599. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  27. Channel 12 / Midgam R&C poll, fieldwork Sep 22, 2026, published Sep 22, 2026 (n=501), via Channel 12: mako.co.il/news-israel-elections/2026/Article-fad59e819c9c0a1027.htm. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  28. Channel 14 / SF+ND poll, fieldwork Sep 23, 2026, published Sep 23, 2026 (n=647), via Channel 14: c14.co.il/article/1711606. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  29. Channel 13 / MP+TM+SN+A poll, fieldwork Sep 23, 2026, published Sep 23, 2026 (n=1,503), via Channel 13: 13tv.co.il/item/news/politics/politics/hcp4l-905367553/?pid=98577. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  30. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Sep 24, 2026, published Sep 24, 2026 (n=537), via i24NEWS: i24news.tv/he/news/israel-elections-2026/polls/artc-5d1d4577. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  31. Zman Yisrael / Yossi Tatika poll, fieldwork Sep 23–24, 2026, published Sep 25, 2026 (n=500), via The Times of Israel: timesofisrael.com/netanyahus-coalition-and-rival-change-bloc-draw-level-in-latest-toi-poll/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  32. Maariv / LRI+P4A poll, fieldwork Sep 23–24, 2026, published Sep 25, 2026 (n=610), via The Jerusalem Post: jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-909659. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  33. i24NEWS / Direct Polls poll, fieldwork Oct 1, 2026, published Oct 2, 2026 (n=504), via Haredim 10: ch10.co.il/en/news/1105029/. Imported from Wikipedia (revision 1378526425).
  34. Party profiles (history, voters, positions, list names, pledges, surplus partners, quotes): research registers compiled Oct 4, 2026, from the sources named next to each item (Israel Democracy Institute, Times of Israel, Jerusalem Post, Ynet, JTA, INN, Al Jazeera, Maariv and others). Quotes are translated from Hebrew where needed and were seen through summaries; their wording has not yet been checked against the originals.
  35. Leader bios: Wikipedia, accessed Oct 2026, via the research memo and party registers.