Selected coalition arrangement
Data as of 2026-10-05. Open the selected view.
Selected seat basis: Normalized coalition average, 2026-10-05.
Every assigned role is hypothetical. Cabinet membership, outside support and abstention are distinct. An initial confidence vote requires more for than against; 61 seats is the absolute-majority planning target.
Cabinet 0; votes for 0, against 120, hypothetical abstention 0. Arithmetic outcome: empty.
Fractional averages illustrate support; real MKs cast whole votes. This hypothetical arithmetic is not a prediction of a parliamentary vote.
14-day publication window; one latest poll per publisher; square-root sample-size weights, median n when absent; passing-only means; near-threshold lists excluded and sum scaled down only if over 120.
Inputs: Channel 12 2026-10-05 (n not recorded); Kan 11 2026-10-04 (n 553); i24NEWS 2026-10-02 (n 504); Maariv 2026-10-02 (n not recorded); Channel 13 2026-10-01 (n 1013); Channel 14 2026-10-01 (n not recorded); Zman Yisrael 2026-10-01 (n 500).
| List | Assigned role | Seats / coverage |
|---|---|---|
| Likud | Opposition | 22.1 |
| Otzma Yehudit | Opposition | 7.4 |
| Shas | Opposition | 7.6 |
| UTJ | Opposition | 7.6 |
| Religious Zionism–Zehut | Opposition | 5.7 |
| People of Israel | Opposition | 4.2 |
| Noam | Opposition | Not reported |
| Yashar! | Opposition | 21 |
| B'Yachad | Opposition | 10.6 |
| The Democrats | Opposition | 9 |
| Yisrael Beiteinu | Opposition | 8.2 |
| Blue and White | Opposition | 0 |
| Reservists–Economic | Opposition | 4.1 |
| Joint List | Opposition | 7.7 |
| Ra'am | Opposition | 4.8 |
Sources and attribution
- Channel 12, 2026-10-05: https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/434161
- Kan 11, 2026-10-04: https://www.kan.org.il/content/kan-news/politic/1105927/
- i24NEWS, 2026-10-02: https://ch10.co.il/en/news/1105029/
- Maariv, 2026-10-02: https://www.jpost.com/israel-election-2026/article-910396
- Initial confidence: Basic Law, The Government: https://main.knesset.gov.il/EN/activity/Documents/BasicLawsPDF/BasicLawTheGovernment.pdf
- Polling average method: https://www.israelielection.org/polls#method
Israel Votes 2026, israelielection.org. Original text is available under CC BY-NC 4.0 for non-commercial use with credit to Rabbi Daniel Bogard and a link to israelielection.org; third-party source material retains its own rights.